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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, July 6, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/6.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, July 6, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections derive insights from key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Dominique Malonga and Natasha Howard lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 6, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 17.5% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 14.8% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 14.1% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 13.9% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 13.6% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 13.5% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.4% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.1% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 11.6% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.3% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.2% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 10.9% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.7% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.3% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 10.2% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 9.5% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 9.2% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 9.1% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 9.0% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 8.6% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 8.6% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 8.0% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.6% |
| Cotie McMahon (Mystics) | 7.1% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 6.7% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 6.4% |
| Maya Caldwell (Lynx) | 6.3% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.0% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 5.8% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.3% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 6, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 3.7% | +1100 | 12.1% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 3.2% | +600 | 17.5% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 2.9% | +1100 | 11.3% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 2.6% | +1000 | 11.6% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 2.5% | +1200 | 10.2% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | Sun | 2.3% | +1500 | 8.6% |
| Kayla McBride | Lynx | 1.8% | +1000 | 10.9% |
| Sonia Citron | Mystics | 1.2% | +1000 | 10.3% |
| Natasha Howard | Lynx | 0.7% | +650 | 14.1% |
| Dearica Hamby | Sparks | 0.7% | +850 | 11.2% |
| Diamond Miller | Sun | 0.1% | +1000 | 9.2% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/6.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, July 6, 2026, Gabby Williams, Dominique Malonga and Natasha Howard lead our first basket projections, while Courtney Williams shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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