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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, July 13, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/13.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, July 13, 2026—are live with the Mercury's Kahleah Copper projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections derive insights from detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Copper, Nneka Ogwumike and Olivia Miles lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also spotlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 13, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 16.9% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 13.8% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 12.5% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 11.9% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 11.8% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.4% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 11.0% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 10.9% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 10.7% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 10.7% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 10.6% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 10.5% |
| Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury) | 8.4% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 8.2% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 7.8% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.2% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 7.1% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.8% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 6.4% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 5.5% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 13, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper | Mercury | 2.6% | +600 | 16.9% |
| Kayla McBride | Lynx | 1.6% | +1000 | 10.7% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 0.7% | +900 | 10.7% |
| Alyssa Thomas | Mercury | 0.5% | +900 | 10.5% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 0.3% | +850 | 10.9% |
| DeWanna Bonner | Mercury | 0.1% | +1200 | 7.8% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 0.1% | +1300 | 7.2% |
| Erica Wheeler | Sparks | 0.1% | +1400 | 6.8% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/13.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, July 13, 2026, Kahleah Copper, Nneka Ogwumike and Olivia Miles lead our first basket projections, with Copper shaping as the strongest value play at +600. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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