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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, June 6, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/6.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, June 6, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections are based on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Allisha Gray and Kelsey Mitchell lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 6, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.2% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 14.0% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 13.8% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 13.0% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 12.9% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 12.8% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 12.6% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.3% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 11.4% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.3% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 11.3% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 10.8% |
| Marine Johannes (Liberty) | 10.2% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.1% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 10.0% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 10.0% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 9.7% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 9.6% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries) | 9.4% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 9.4% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 9.3% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 9.3% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 8.2% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 7.4% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.1% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 6.9% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.8% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 5.5% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 5.3% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 4.5% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 6, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pauline Astier | Liberty | 2.3% | +1000 | 11.4% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 2.2% | +750 | 14.0% |
| Jordin Canada | Dream | 2.1% | +1200 | 9.7% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 1.3% | +1100 | 9.6% |
| Sonia Citron | Mystics | 1.0% | +1000 | 10.1% |
| Kelsey Mitchell | Fever | 0.4% | +650 | 13.8% |
| Kiki Iriafen | Mystics | 0.4% | +700 | 12.9% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/6.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Saturday, June 6, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Allisha Gray and Kelsey Mitchell lead our first basket projections, while Pauline Astier shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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