Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, June 7, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/7.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, June 7, 2026—are live with the Sparks' Kelsey Plum projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections make use of key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Plum, Marina Mabrey and Carla Leite lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 7, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 14.9% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 14.3% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 13.5% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.0% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 12.4% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 11.9% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 11.7% |
| Brittney Sykes (Tempo) | 11.5% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 10.8% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 10.4% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 10.3% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 9.0% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 8.5% |
| Laura Juskaite (Tempo) | 8.3% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 7.7% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.5% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.5% |
| Nyadiew Puoch (Fire) | 6.3% |
| Luisa Geiselsoder (Fire) | 5.9% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 5.6% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 7, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 2.5% | +750 | 14.3% |
| Bridget Carleton | Fire | 1.9% | +850 | 12.4% |
| Emily Engstler | Fire | 1.3% | +850 | 11.9% |
| Kelsey Plum | Sparks | 0.6% | +600 | 14.9% |
| Laura Juskaite | Tempo | 0.6% | +1200 | 8.3% |
| Jacy Sheldon | Sky | 0.6% | +1300 | 7.7% |
| Nyara Sabally | Tempo | 0.3% | +900 | 10.3% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/7.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Sunday, June 7, 2026, Kelsey Plum, Marina Mabrey and Carla Leite lead our first basket projections, with Mabrey shaping as the strongest value play at +750. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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