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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, June 21, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/21.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, June 21, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections are based on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Kelsey Plum and Kiki Iriafen lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 21, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 15.9% |
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 15.7% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 14.5% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 13.8% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.4% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.1% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 11.9% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 11.8% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 11.6% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 11.5% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 11.5% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 11.4% |
| Marine Johannes (Liberty) | 11.0% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 10.9% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 10.8% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 10.7% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries) | 9.8% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 9.4% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 9.3% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 9.1% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 8.3% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 7.9% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.3% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 6.8% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.8% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 6.7% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 6.4% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 5.7% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.1% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 4.2% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 21, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 3.9% | +1200 | 11.6% |
| Marine Johannes | Liberty | 3.3% | +1200 | 11.0% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 2.5% | +950 | 12.1% |
| NaLyssa Smith | Aces | 1.9% | +950 | 11.4% |
| Erica Wheeler | Sparks | 1.5% | +1800 | 6.8% |
| Kelsey Plum | Sparks | 1.4% | +600 | 15.7% |
| Kiki Iriafen | Mystics | 1.1% | +650 | 14.5% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 0.6% | +1400 | 7.3% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/21.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Sunday, June 21, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Plum and Kiki Iriafen lead our first basket projections, while Michaela Onyenwere shapes as the strongest value play at +1200. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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