Sep 4, 2026
Dimers' new WNBA player props model up 41 units across 218 bets
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, June 4, 2026
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/4.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Thursday, June 4, 2026—are live with the Fever's Kelsey Mitchell projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Mitchell, Allisha Gray and Natasha Howard lead Thursday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 4, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 13.6% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 13.6% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 13.1% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.9% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.6% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 12.5% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 12.4% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.6% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 10.6% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.5% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 9.8% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 9.6% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 9.3% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 8.8% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 7.8% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 7.3% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.1% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 6.9% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 5.3% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.6% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 4, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 4.6% | +1100 | 12.9% |
| Jordin Canada | Dream | 2.2% | +1300 | 9.3% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 1.8% | +750 | 13.6% |
| Lexie Hull | Fever | 0.5% | +2000 | 5.3% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/4.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Thursday, June 4, 2026, Kelsey Mitchell, Allisha Gray and Natasha Howard lead our first basket projections, while Courtney Williams shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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