Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, June 25, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/25.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Thursday, June 25, 2026—are live with the Tempo's Marina Mabrey projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Mabrey, Dominique Malonga and A'ja Wilson lead Thursday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 25, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 15.7% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 15.4% |
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 15.0% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 13.2% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 12.8% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 12.3% |
| Isabelle Harrison (Tempo) | 12.2% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 12.1% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 11.8% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 11.4% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 11.0% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 10.8% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.5% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 10.4% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 10.2% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 9.9% |
| Marine Johannes (Liberty) | 9.8% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 8.8% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 8.6% |
| Laura Juskaite (Tempo) | 8.4% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 8.2% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 8.0% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 7.9% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.6% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 7.6% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 6.8% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 6.5% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 5.7% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.7% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 5.7% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 25, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 3.0% | +1000 | 12.1% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 2.2% | +1100 | 10.5% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 0.9% | +850 | 11.4% |
| Isabelle Harrison | Tempo | 0.4% | +750 | 12.2% |
| Julie Allemand | Tempo | 0.2% | +1700 | 5.7% |
| Jackie Young | Aces | 0.0% | +750 | 11.8% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/25.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Thursday, June 25, 2026, Marina Mabrey, Dominique Malonga and A'ja Wilson lead our first basket projections, while Natisha Hiedeman shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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