Jul 22, 2026
Wings vs. Fire prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 19 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/22/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/7.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, July 7, 2026—are live with the Wings' Paige Bueckers projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Bueckers, Kahleah Copper and Kahleah Copper lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also identify tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 7, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 15.5% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 14.5% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 13.9% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.9% |
| Sydney Taylor (Sky) | 13.1% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 11.5% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 10.4% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.4% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 10.1% |
| Alexa Held (Mercury) | 9.7% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 9.0% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 8.9% |
| Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury) | 8.6% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 8.5% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 8.3% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.1% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 7.6% |
| Marine Johannes (Liberty) | 7.4% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 7.2% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 6.4% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 5.6% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 7, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | Sky | 4.8% | +1100 | 13.1% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 3.8% | +1400 | 10.4% |
| Alexa Held | Mercury | 2.3% | +1300 | 9.5% |
| Valeriane Ayayi | Mercury | 2.0% | +1400 | 8.6% |
| Breanna Stewart | Liberty | 1.5% | +710 | 13.9% |
| Paige Bueckers | Wings | 1.2% | +600 | 15.5% |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | 0.5% | +1400 | 7.2% |
| Pauline Astier | Liberty | 0.5% | +1180 | 8.3% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/7.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Tuesday, July 7, 2026, Paige Bueckers, Kahleah Copper and Kahleah Copper lead our first basket projections, while Sydney Taylor shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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