Jul 22, 2026
Wings vs. Fire prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 19 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/22/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/17.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, June 17, 2026—are live with the Mystics' Kiki Iriafen projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections derive insights from detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Iriafen, Gabby Williams and A'ja Wilson lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 17, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 15.5% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 15.5% |
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 15.3% |
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 15.1% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 14.0% |
| Satou Sabally (Liberty) | 13.6% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 13.1% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 13.0% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 12.9% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 12.8% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 12.8% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 12.7% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 12.6% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.6% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.4% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 12.3% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.9% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 11.7% |
| Natasha Mack (Mercury) | 11.5% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 11.5% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 11.2% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 11.1% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 11.1% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 11.1% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 11.1% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.9% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 10.8% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.8% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 10.7% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.7% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.6% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 10.6% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 10.3% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 10.1% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 9.9% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 9.7% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 9.6% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 9.4% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 9.3% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 9.0% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 8.9% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 8.4% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 8.4% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 8.2% |
| Monique Akoa-Makani (Mercury) | 8.1% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.9% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 7.7% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 7.5% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 7.5% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 7.4% |
| Cassandre Prosper (Mystics) | 7.4% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 7.3% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 7.1% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 7.0% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 6.7% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 6.6% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.5% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 6.3% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.9% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 5.4% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.0% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 3.8% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 17, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 6.8% | +1300 | 14.0% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 2.9% | +950 | 12.4% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 2.8% | +1000 | 11.9% |
| Sonia Citron | Mystics | 2.7% | +1100 | 11.0% |
| Jacy Sheldon | Sky | 2.5% | +1900 | 7.5% |
| Kelsey Plum | Sparks | 1.8% | +650 | 15.1% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 1.8% | +1600 | 7.7% |
| Leila Lacan | Sun | 1.5% | +1000 | 10.6% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 1.2% | +950 | 10.8% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 1.2% | +600 | 15.5% |
| Saniya Rivers | Sun | 0.7% | +1200 | 8.4% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 0.7% | +750 | 12.5% |
| Natasha Mack | Mercury | 0.4% | +800 | 11.5% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 0.2% | +1200 | 7.9% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/17.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, June 17, 2026, Kiki Iriafen, Gabby Williams and A'ja Wilson lead our first basket projections, while Megan Gustafson shapes as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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