Jul 22, 2026
Wings vs. Fire prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 19 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/22/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/24.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, June 24, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections make use of detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Kiki Iriafen and Gabby Williams lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 24, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 16.1% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 15.7% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 15.1% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 13.4% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.6% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 12.4% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 12.2% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 12.2% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 12.1% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.9% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 11.8% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 11.8% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 11.7% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 11.7% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 11.4% |
| Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries) | 11.2% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 11.1% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 11.0% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 10.9% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 10.9% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 10.6% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.3% |
| Alexa Held (Mercury) | 10.2% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 10.1% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 9.6% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 9.4% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 9.3% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 9.1% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 8.6% |
| Cassandre Prosper (Mystics) | 8.2% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 8.2% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 8.0% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 8.0% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.7% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 7.5% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 7.2% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 7.0% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 6.9% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 6.3% |
| Monique Billings (Fever) | 6.0% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 4.8% |
| Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury) | 3.9% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 24, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 6.2% | +1300 | 13.4% |
| Gabriela Jaquez | Sky | 2.8% | +1400 | 9.4% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 2.6% | +1000 | 11.7% |
| Noemie Brochant | Mercury | 1.9% | +1200 | 9.6% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 1.4% | +900 | 11.4% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 0.7% | +550 | 16.1% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/24.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, June 24, 2026, Gabby Williams, Kiki Iriafen and Gabby Williams lead our first basket projections, while Megan Gustafson shapes as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
Advertiser disclosure
