Fremantle Dockers vs. Adelaide Crows prediction: Dockers favored to win Friday's AFL Round 23 matchup [8/14/2026]

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Written by Damien Souness

Get Fremantle Dockers vs Adelaide Crows predictions for AFL Friday.

Fremantle Dockers-Adelaide Crows Predictions and Game Preview.
Fremantle Dockers vs. Adelaide Crows AFL prediction for Friday, August 14, 2026.

The Fremantle Dockers will take on the Adelaide Crows in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Optus Stadium on Friday, beginning at 6:10 AM ET.

Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Dockers as the most likely winner in this Crows vs. Dockers prediction.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Dockers vs. Crows prediction: Who will win Round 23 game?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL game between the Crows and Dockers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Dockers a 74.0% chance of defeating the Crows.

According to our model, the Crows (+22.5) have a 52.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 170.5-point over/under has a 51.0% chance of staying under,.

 

Adelaide vs. Fremantle odds

We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Crows +255, Dockers -345

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Crows vs. Dockers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Crows +22.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Crows @ +255 via DraftKings
  • Total: Under 170.5 @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Crows +22.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Dockers vs. Crows game-day updates and essential details

Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Dockers and Crows at Optus Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:10 AM ET.

  • Who: Adelaide Crows vs. Fremantle Dockers
  • Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
  • Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
  • Venue: Optus Stadium

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Dockers, with a 74.0% win probability, will likely beat the Crows in Friday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.

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