Aug 20, 2026
Carlton Blues vs. Fremantle Dockers prediction: Why Dockers are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 24 matchup [8/21/2026]
Read Article Collingwood Magpies vs. Brisbane Lions prediction: Why Lions are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 24 matchup [8/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions predictions for AFL Friday.
The Collingwood Magpies and Brisbane Lions will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 5:40 AM ET.
Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Lions as the most likely winner in this Lions vs. Magpies prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Magpies vs. Lions prediction: Who will win Round 24 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Lions and Magpies, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lions a 64.4% chance of defeating the Magpies.
According to our model, the Magpies (+21.5) have a 62.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 181.5-point over/under has a 51.3% chance of staying under,.
Brisbane vs. Collingwood odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Lions -345, Magpies +255
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lions vs. Magpies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Magpies +21.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Magpies @ +255 via DraftKings
- Total: Under 181.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Magpies +21.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Magpies vs. Lions game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football game between the Magpies and Lions at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 5:40 AM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Lions vs. Collingwood Magpies
- Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
- Time: 5:40 AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with a 64.4% win probability, will likely beat the Magpies in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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