St Kilda Saints vs. Carlton Blues prediction: Blues favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 22 matchup [8/9/2026]
Get St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues predictions for AFL Sunday.
The St Kilda Saints will face the Carlton Blues in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 5:20 AM ET.
Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Blues as the most likely winner in this Blues vs. Saints prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Saints vs. Blues prediction: Who will win Round 22 game?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Blues a 53.6% chance of defeating the Saints.
According to our model, the Saints (+3.5) have a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 174.5-point over/under has a 51.2% chance of staying under,.
Carlton vs. St Kilda odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Saints @ +105 via DraftKings
- Total: Under 174.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blues vs. Saints picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Saints +3.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Saints @ +105 via DraftKings
- Total: Under 174.5 @ -115 via DraftKings According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 174.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Saints vs. Blues game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rules football matchup between the Saints and Blues at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:20 AM ET.
- Who: Carlton Blues vs. St Kilda Saints
- Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026
- Time: 5:20 AM ET/2:20AM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Blues, with a 53.6% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Sunday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
