Melbourne Demons vs. Geelong Cats prediction: Why Demons are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 20 matchup [7/24/2026]
Get Melbourne Demons vs Geelong Cats predictions for AFL Friday.
The Melbourne Demons will square off with the Geelong Cats in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 5:40 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Demons as the most likely winner of the Cats vs. Demons game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Demons vs. Cats prediction: Who will win Round 20 game?
Our independent predictive model gives the Demons a 52.7% chance of defeating the Cats.
According to our model, the Cats (+2.5) have a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 175.5-point over/under has a 51.2% chance of staying under,.
Geelong vs. Melbourne odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cats | Demons |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +100 | -125 |
| Line (Spread) | +2.5 (-115) | -2.5 (-115) |
| Total | o175.5 (-115) | u175.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cats vs. Demons picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cats +2.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Cats | +100 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Cats +2.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Demons vs. Cats game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football action between the Demons and Cats at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 5:40 AM ET.
- Who: Geelong Cats vs. Melbourne Demons
- Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
- Time: 5:40 AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Demons, with a 52.7% win probability, will likely beat the Cats in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
