App State vs. North Carolina State prediction favors North Carolina State to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of App State vs. North Carolina State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives North Carolina State an 82.4% chance of beating Appalachian State. Our predicted final score has North Carolina State winning 34-21. According to our model, Appalachian State (+13.5) has a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 50.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: App State +13.5 (-110) / North Carolina State -13.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: App State +410, North Carolina State -525
• Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-107/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Appalachian State +13.5 @ -110 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: North Carolina State @ -525 via bet365
• Total: Over 55.5 @ -107 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Appalachian State +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between North Carolina State and App State at Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Appalachian State vs. North Carolina State
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict North Carolina State, with an 82.4% win probability, will likely beat Appalachian State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.