Tulsa vs. Arkansas prediction: Why Arkansas is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 70.5% win probability for Arkansas at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.

Arkansas and Tulsa will clash in Week 4 college football action at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Arkansas as the most likely winner in this Tulsa vs. Arkansas prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Tulsa vs. Arkansas prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model gives Arkansas a 70.5% chance of defeating Tulsa. Our predicted final score has Arkansas winning 29-22. According to our model, Tulsa (+7.5) has a 54.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 50.5 points has a 52.5% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Tulsa +7.5 (-120) / Arkansas -7.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Tulsa +235, Arkansas -265
- Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Tulsa +7.5 @ -120 via bet365
- Moneyline: Tulsa @ +235 via FanDuel
- Total: Over 50.5 @ -110 via FanDuel
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 50.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Arkansas and Tulsa at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Tulsa vs. Arkansas
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict Arkansas, with a 70.5% win probability, will likely beat Tulsa in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



