Boston College vs. SMU prediction favors Southern Methodist to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Boston College vs. SMU, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Southern Methodist a 93.8% chance of beating Boston College. Our predicted final score has Southern Methodist winning 38-16. According to our model, Southern Methodist (-21) has a 53.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 55.5 points has a 50.7% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Boston College +21 (-108) / SMU -21 (-114)
• Moneyline: Boston College +1000, SMU -1400
• Total: Over/Under 55.5 (+100/-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Southern Methodist -21 @ -114 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Southern Methodist @ -1400 via FanDuel
• Total: Over 55.5 @ +100 via bet365

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 55.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between SMU and Boston College at Gerald J. Ford Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Boston College vs. Southern Methodist
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Southern Methodist, with a 93.8% win probability, will likely beat Boston College in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.