Butler vs. Valparaiso prediction favors Butler to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Valparaiso and Butler will clash in Week 4 college football action at Brown Field on Saturday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects Butler as the most likely winner in this Butler vs. Valparaiso prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Butler vs. Valparaiso prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Butler vs. Valparaiso, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Butler a 70.7% chance of beating Valparaiso. Our predicted final score has Butler winning 29-23. According to our model, Butler (-6.5) has a 50.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 52.5 points has a 51.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Butler -6.5 (-111) / Valparaiso +6.5 (-109)
• Moneyline: Butler -244, Valparaiso +210
• Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-107/-111)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Butler -6.5 @ -111 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Butler @ -244 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 52.5 @ -107 via Caesars

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Butler to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Valparaiso and Butler at Brown Field is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Butler vs. Valparaiso
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: Brown Field

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Conclusion

We predict Butler, with a 70.7% win probability, will likely beat Valparaiso in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.