Chattanooga vs. East Tennessee State prediction: Why East Tennessee State is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Chattanooga vs. East Tennessee State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives East Tennessee State a 58.9% chance of beating Chattanooga. Our predicted final score has East Tennessee State winning 28-25. According to our model, East Tennessee State (-3) has a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point over/under has a 52.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Chattanooga +3 (-111) / East Tennessee State -3 (-105)
• Moneyline: Chattanooga +124, East Tennessee State -145
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-105/-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: East Tennessee State -3 @ -105 via Caesars
• Moneyline: East Tennessee State @ -145 via bet365
• Total: Over 53.5 @ -105 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 53.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between East Tennessee State and Chattanooga at William B. Greene Jr. Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Chattanooga vs. East Tennessee State
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: William B. Greene Jr. Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict East Tennessee State, with a 58.9% win probability, will likely beat Chattanooga in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.