Citadel vs. South Carolina State prediction favors South Carolina State to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Citadel vs. South Carolina State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives South Carolina State a 91.2% chance of beating Citadel. Our predicted final score has South Carolina State winning 33-15. According to our model, South Carolina State (-15.5) has a 54.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has a 54.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Citadel +15.5 (+100) / South Carolina State -15.5 (-130)
• Moneyline: Citadel +600, South Carolina State -950
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: South Carolina State -15.5 @ -130 via bet365
• Moneyline: South Carolina State @ -950 via bet365
• Total: Over 47.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 47.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between South Carolina State and Citadel at Oliver C. Dawson Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Citadel vs. South Carolina State
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: Oliver C. Dawson Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict South Carolina State, with a 91.2% win probability, will likely beat Citadel in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.