Mercer vs. VMI prediction favors Mercer to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Mercer vs. VMI, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Mercer a 99.0% chance of defeating VMI. Our predicted final score has Mercer winning 41-8. According to our model, VMI (+35.5) has a 56.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 53.4% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Mercer -35.5 (-120) / VMI +35.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Mercer , VMI

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Over @ -111 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is VMI +35.5.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between VMI and Mercer at Alumni Memorial Field at Foster Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:30 PM ET.

• Who: Mercer vs. VMI
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 1:30 PM ET/10:30AM PT
• Venue: Alumni Memorial Field at Foster Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Mercer, with a 99.0% win probability, will likely beat VMI in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.