Navy vs. Air Force prediction: Why Air Force is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Navy vs. Air Force, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Air Force a 54.3% chance of beating Navy. Our predicted final score has Air Force winning 24-22. According to our model, Navy (+2.5) has a 52.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 45.5-point over/under has a 54.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Navy +2.5 (+100) / Air Force -2.5 (-120)
• Moneyline: Navy +120, Air Force -140
• Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Navy +2.5 @ +100 via bet365
• Moneyline: Navy @ +120 via bet365
• Total: Over 45.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 45.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Air Force and Navy at Falcon Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Navy vs. Air Force
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Falcon Stadium

College football Week 5 promos

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Conclusion

We predict Air Force, with a 54.3% win probability, will likely beat Navy in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.