New Haven vs. Merrimack prediction: Why Merrimack is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Merrimack and New Haven will meet in Week 4 college football action at Duane Stadium on Saturday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced college football model projects Merrimack as the most likely winner in this New Haven vs. Merrimack prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

New Haven vs. Merrimack prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of New Haven vs. Merrimack, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Merrimack a 79.3% chance of defeating New Haven. Our predicted final score has Merrimack winning 26-16. According to our model, Merrimack (-9.5) has a 51.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 39.5-point over/under has a 59.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: New Haven +9.5 (-110) / Merrimack -9.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: New Haven +280, Merrimack -360
• Total: Over/Under 39.5 (-115/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Merrimack -9.5 @ -110 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Merrimack @ -360 via Caesars
• Total: Over 39.5 @ -115 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 39.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Merrimack and New Haven at Duane Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: New Haven vs. Merrimack
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Duane Stadium

College football Week 4 promos

Make the most of Dimers' New Haven vs. Merrimack predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

We predict Merrimack, with a 79.3% win probability, will likely beat New Haven in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.