New Mexico State vs. Florida International prediction favors Florida International to win in college football Week 6 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of New Mexico State vs. Florida International, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Florida International a 67.2% chance of defeating New Mexico State. Our predicted final score has Florida International winning 26-20. According to our model, New Mexico State (+7) has a 55.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has a 53.4% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: New Mexico State +7 (-115) / Florida International -7 (-105)
• Moneyline: New Mexico State +205, Florida International -245
• Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: New Mexico State +7 @ -115 via Caesars
• Moneyline: New Mexico State @ +205 via FanDuel
• Total: Over 45.5 @ -110 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is New Mexico State +7 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's college football action between Florida International and New Mexico State at Pitbull Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: New Mexico State vs. Florida International
• Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Pitbull Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Florida International, with a 67.2% win probability, will likely beat New Mexico State in Wednesday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.