New Mexico vs. New Mexico State prediction favors New Mexico to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

New Mexico State will face the favored New Mexico in Week 4 college football action at Aggie Memorial Stadium on Saturday, starting at 3:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects New Mexico as the most likely winner in this New Mexico vs. New Mexico State prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of New Mexico vs. New Mexico State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives New Mexico an 82.5% chance of defeating New Mexico State. Our predicted final score has New Mexico winning 30-18. According to our model, New Mexico (-11.5) has a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points has a 53.7% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: New Mexico -11.5 (-110) / New Mexico State +11.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: New Mexico -450, New Mexico State +400
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: New Mexico -11.5 @ -110 via Caesars
• Moneyline: New Mexico @ -450 via bet365
• Total: Over 47.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 47.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between New Mexico State and New Mexico at Aggie Memorial Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: New Mexico vs. New Mexico State
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: Aggie Memorial Stadium

College football Week 4 promos

Make the most of Dimers' New Mexico vs. New Mexico State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

We predict New Mexico, with an 82.5% win probability, will likely beat New Mexico State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.