North Dakota vs. Indiana State prediction: Why North Dakota is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Indiana State will square off with the favored North Dakota in Week 4 college football action at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects North Dakota as the most likely winner in this North Dakota vs. Indiana State prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

North Dakota vs. Indiana State prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of North Dakota vs. Indiana State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives North Dakota a 91.1% chance of beating Indiana State. Our predicted final score has North Dakota winning 36-18. According to our model, North Dakota (-17.5) has a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 54.5-point over/under has a 52.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: North Dakota -17.5 (-112) / Indiana State +17.5 (-111)
• Moneyline: North Dakota -1200, Indiana State +710
• Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-112/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: North Dakota -17.5 @ -112 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: North Dakota @ -1200 via Caesars
• Total: Over 54.5 @ -112 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 54.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Indiana State and North Dakota at Memorial Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: North Dakota vs. Indiana State
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Memorial Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict North Dakota, with a 91.1% win probability, will likely beat Indiana State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.