Oregon State vs. Texas-El Paso prediction: Why Oregon State is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Oregon State vs. Texas-El Paso, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Oregon State a 78.8% chance of beating Texas-El Paso. Our predicted final score has Oregon State winning 33-22. According to our model, Texas-El Paso (+11.5) has a 52.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 51.4% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Oregon State -11.5 (-105) / Texas-El Paso +11.5 (-113)
• Moneyline: Oregon State -430, Texas-El Paso +350
• Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-115/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas-El Paso +11.5 @ -113 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Texas-El Paso @ +350 via bet365
• Total: Under 55.5 @ -102 via Caesars

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas-El Paso +11.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Texas-El Paso and Oregon State at Sun Bowl is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Oregon State vs. Texas-El Paso
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Sun Bowl

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Conclusion

We predict Oregon State, with a 78.8% win probability, will likely beat Texas-El Paso in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.