South Dakota vs. Youngstown State prediction: Close contest projected after new data released for in college football Week 4 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 50.0% win probability for South Dakota at Arnold D. Stambaugh Stadium.

Youngstown State and South Dakota will lock horns in Week 4 college football action at Arnold D. Stambaugh Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 2:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win in this South Dakota-Youngstown State prediction.
This article offers a complete South Dakota vs. Youngstown State prediction, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
South Dakota vs. Youngstown State prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model can't split the two teams, giving both South Dakota and Youngstown State a 50% chance of winning the game. Our predicted score is South Dakota 31-31 Youngstown State.
According to our model, Youngstown State (+1.5) has a 52.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 65-point over/under has a 54.5% chance of staying under. While there is no way for a college football game to end in a tie, our prediction of 31-31 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of South Dakota vs. Youngstown State.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: South Dakota -1.5 (-110) / Youngstown State +1.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: South Dakota -115, Youngstown State +101
- Total: Over/Under 65 (-108/-114)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Youngstown State +1.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Youngstown State @ +101 via DraftKings
- Total: Under 65 @ -114 via Caesars
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 65 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Youngstown State and South Dakota at Arnold D. Stambaugh Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: South Dakota vs. Youngstown State
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Arnold D. Stambaugh Stadium
College football Week 4 promos
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Conclusion
We predict a close game between South Dakota and Youngstown State on Saturday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



