Tennessee-Martin vs. Austin Peay prediction: Why Austin Peay is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Austin Peay will square off with Tennessee-Martin in Week 4 college football action at Fortera Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects Austin Peay as the most likely winner in this Tennessee-Martin vs. Austin Peay prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Austin Peay prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tennessee-Martin vs. Austin Peay, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Austin Peay an 89.3% chance of beating Tennessee-Martin. Our predicted final score has Austin Peay winning 34-18. According to our model, Tennessee-Martin (+17.5) has a 53.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point over/under has a 50.4% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Tennessee-Martin +17.5 (-122) / Austin Peay -17.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Tennessee-Martin +553, Austin Peay -850
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-115/-107)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tennessee-Martin +17.5 @ -122 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Austin Peay @ -850 via Caesars
• Total: Under 53.5 @ -107 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Austin Peay to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Austin Peay and Tennessee-Martin at Fortera Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tennessee-Martin vs. Austin Peay
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: Fortera Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Austin Peay, with an 89.3% win probability, will likely beat Tennessee-Martin in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.