Utah vs. Iowa State prediction: Why Utah is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 75.5% win probability for Utah at Jack Trice Stadium.

Iowa State will face the favored Utah in Week 4 college football action at Jack Trice Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Utah as the most likely winner in this Utah vs. Iowa State prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Utah vs. Iowa State prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model gives Utah a 75.5% chance of beating Iowa State. Our predicted final score has Utah winning 27-20. According to our model, Utah (-7.5) has a 50.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 53.2% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Utah -7.5 (-105) / Iowa State +7.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Utah -315, Iowa State +265
- Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-112/-105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Utah -7.5 @ -105 via bet365
- Moneyline: Utah @ -315 via FanDuel
- Total: Over 46.5 @ -112 via DraftKings
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 46.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between Iowa State and Utah at Jack Trice Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Utah vs. Iowa State
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Jack Trice Stadium
College football Week 4 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Utah vs. Iowa State predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Utah, with a 75.5% win probability, will likely beat Iowa State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



