Cruz Azul vs. Club America prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/12/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Cruz Azul and Club America, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 37.2% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 36.9% chance for Club America, and a 26.0% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 50.1% chance of staying under, with a 54.3% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Club America +135, Cruz Azul +190
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Cruz Azul @ +190 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -106 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cruz Azul to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Cruz Azul 1-1 Club America (12.3% probability)
• Cruz Azul 1-0 Club America (9.3%)
• Cruz Azul 0-1 Club America (9.2%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Liga MX action between Cruz Azul and Club America at Estadio Banorte is scheduled to commence at 11:15 PM ET.

• Who: Cruz Azul vs. Club America
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 11:15 PM ET/8:15PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Banorte

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 37.2% win probability on Saturday, Club America has a 36.9% win probability, and there is a 26.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.