Monterrey vs. Tigres UANL prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/12/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Monterrey and Tigres UANL, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 39.6% chance of Monterrey winning, a 35.9% chance for Tigres UANL, and a 24.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 56.7% chance of going over, with a 59.5% likelihood that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Tigres UANL +205, Monterrey +125
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-162/+126)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tigres UANL @ +205 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +126 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigres UANL to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Monterrey 1-1 Tigres UANL (11.4% probability)
• Monterrey 2-1 Tigres UANL (8.6%)
• Monterrey 1-2 Tigres UANL (8.2%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.5% chance of both Monterrey and Tigres UANL finding the net and a 40.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Liga MX game between Monterrey and Tigres UANL at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to commence at 9:10 PM ET.

• Who: Monterrey vs. Tigres UANL
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 9:10 PM ET/6:10PM PT
• Venue: Estadio BBVA

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 39.6% win probability on Saturday, Tigres UANL has a 35.9% win probability, and there is a 24.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.