Sep 29, 2026
MLB picks today: Tuesday's MLB best bets include Red Sox vs. Yankees play [9/29/2026]
Read Article Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [9/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 55.6% win probability for the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
The New York Yankees will take on the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
The Yankees will send Cam Schlittler (0-0, 0.00 ERA) to the mound, while the Red Sox have opted for Payton Tolle (0-0, 0.00 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Yankees as the most likely winner in this Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Cam Schlittler's pitching projections.
Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Yankees a 55.6% chance of beating the Red Sox. According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 63.1% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 6.5 runs has a 55.7% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 (-186) / Yankees -1.5 (+190)
- Moneyline: Red Sox +122, Yankees -120
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+117/-120)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Yankees -1.5 @ 34¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Yankees @ 55¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 6.5 @ 46¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Tuesday's MLB game between the Yankees and Red Sox at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
- Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 55.6% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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