MLB postseason player props today: Tuesday's best props include Cam Schlittler [9/29/2026]

Matthew Boyd over 1.5 earned runs (-120)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Cubs' Matthew Boyd over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 62.4% gives this play an edge of 7.9% at -120 odds.

Matthew Boyd over 13.5 outs recorded (-112)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 61.9%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

Matthew Boyd’s outs recorded prop shows a 61.9% probability and an 9.1% edge at -112 odds, according to our model.

Payton Tolle over 1.5 earned runs (-105)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 59.7%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Payton Tolle over 1.5 earned runs, with simulations showing a 59.7% probability and an 8.5% edge at -105.

Cam Schlittler over 1.5 earned runs (+115)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Cam Schlittler over 1.5 earned runs, with a 56.5% probability and an edge of 10.0% at +115 odds.

Matthew Boyd over 4.5 hits allowed (+122)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Matthew Boyd over 4.5 hits allowed for Cubs, showing an edge of 9.2% at +122 odds.

Jarren Duran to get a hit (+103)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:00PM ET)

Jarren Duran’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 3.5% at +103 odds, supported by a 52.8% probability according to our model.

Spencer Jones to get a hit (+100)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 52.3%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Spencer Jones to get a hit for Yankees, with a 52.3% probability and a 2.3% edge at +100 odds.

Austin Wells to get a hit (+125)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Austin Wells to get a hit, supported by a 51.7% probability at +125 odds and an edge of 7.3%.

Payton Tolle over 1.5 walks allowed (+130)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 48.5%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:00PM ET)

A 5.0% edge on the over 0.5 walks allowed line makes Payton Tolle a value play in Red Sox vs. Yankees, supported by a 48.5% probability at +130 odds.

Spencer Jones over 1.5 bases (+220)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 37.1%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Spencer Jones over 1.5 bases here, with a 37.1% probability and 5.8% edge at +220 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, September 29, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For September 29, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Matthew Boyd, Payton Tolle and Cam Schlittler. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.