MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Twins vs. Brewers play [8/9/2026]

Twins ML (+230)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 39.3%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Twins to defeat Brewers at +230 odds. A 39.3% probability produces an edge of 9.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Orioles vs. Rangers Over 8.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)

Orioles vs. Rangers over 8.5 runs carries an 8.3% edge and a probability of 54.4% at +117 odds, according to our model.

Twins +1.5 (+102)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

Twins +1.5 vs. Brewers at +102 odds shows a 7.7% edge, supported by a 57.2% probability in simulations.

Braves vs. Yankees over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Braves vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)

A 6.6% edge and 55.6% probability make Braves vs. Yankees over 8.5 runs a value play in the Braves vs. Yankees matchup, per our model.

Twins vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 52.7%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

Twins vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs at +113 odds presents a 5.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 52.7%.

Athletics ML (+233)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 35.6%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET)

Our model finds value on Athletics to win at +233 odds, supported by an edge of 5.6%.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (4:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs at -113 odds. A 58.4% probability produces a 5.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Tigers vs. Giants Over 7.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 53%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Giants (4:05PM ET)

A 4.9% edge on a 53% probability makes Over 7.5 runs at +108 odds a solid value play in today's Tigers vs. Giants matchup.

Giants ML (+108)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Giants (4:05PM ET)

Our model projects value on Giants to win at +108 odds. A 52.9% probability produces a 4.8% edge, making Giants the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Mets vs. Pirates Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Mets vs. Pirates Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 50.8% probability and a 3.9% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 8/9/2026

As of 3:22AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/9/2026]

• Reds vs. Nationals (12:15PM ET, Sunday)
• Mets vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Braves vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Blue Jays vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Athletics vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Angels vs. Marlins (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
• Guardians vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Cubs vs. Royals (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Twins vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Rockies vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET, Sunday)
• Orioles vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET, Sunday)
• Tigers vs. Giants (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Dodgers vs. D-Backs (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Rays vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
• Astros vs. Padres (8:20PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 9, 2026, featuring plays such as Twins ML vs. Brewers and over 8.5 runs in the Orioles vs. Rangers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.