MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Tigers vs. Athletics play [7/31/2026]

Athletics +1.5 (-106)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Athletics +1.5 at -106 odds. A 57.6% probability produces an edge of 6.2%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Royals vs. Rockies Over 11.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 53%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Royals vs. Rockies over 11.5 runs carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 53% at +113 odds, according to our model.

Red Sox -1.5 (+174)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 41.9%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Red Sox -1.5 vs. Dodgers at +174 odds shows a 5.4% edge, supported by a 41.9% probability in simulations.

Athletics ML (+141)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

A 5.1% edge and 46.6% probability makes Athletics at the moneyline a value play in the Tigers vs. Athletics matchup, per our model.

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 53.8%
• Matchup: Cardinals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs at +104 odds presents a 4.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.8%.

Royals -1.5 (+150)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 44.2%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Royals -1.5 at +150 odds, supported by an edge of 4.2%.

Angels ML (+156)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 43%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Brewers-Angels to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +156 odds. A 43% probability produces a 3.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Twins vs. Mariners Over 7.5 runs (-115)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET)

A 3.8% edge on a 57.3% probability makes Over 7.5 runs at -115 odds a solid value play in today's Twins vs. Mariners matchup.

Mets ML (-117)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Mets to win at -117 odds. A 57.7% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making Mets the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Rangers vs. Astros Over 7.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Rangers vs. Astros (8:15PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Rangers vs. Astros Over 7.5 runs at -113 odds shows a 56.8% probability and a 3.7% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Friday, 7/31/2026

As of 8:10AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/31/2026]

• Yankees vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
• Pirates vs. Reds (6:10PM ET, Friday)
• Cardinals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
• Marlins vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• D-Backs vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• White Sox vs. Rays (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)
• Rangers vs. Astros (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• Royals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Friday)
• Brewers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Friday)
• Tigers vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Friday)
• Giants vs. Padres (9:45PM ET, Friday)
• Twins vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET, Friday)
• Red Sox vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 31, 2026, featuring plays such as Athletics +1.5 vs. Tigers and over 11.5 runs in the Royals vs. Rockies matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.