Home run predictions for Wednesday include Kyle Schwarber, Yordan Alvarez [8/5/2026]

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.3% chance to go yard, followed by Ben Rice (20.8%) and Shohei Ohtani (20.7%).

Yordan Alvarez and Jake Burger are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Wednesday's home run picks [8/5/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, reveals today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Yainer Diaz (Astros) to hit a home run

• Probability: 14.4%
• Odds: +800
• Edge: 3.3%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Astros (2:10 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Jameson Taillon

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Houston slugger Yainer Diaz rates as a value play at +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 3.3% edge.

With Jameson Taillon on the mound for the Blue Jays, the data supports Diaz as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of eight home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 5, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Ben Rice and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Yainer Diaz who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.3% edge at +800 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Wednesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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