Home run predictions for Monday include Shohei Ohtani, Junior Caminero [8/10/2026]

• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 24.2% probability
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 22.7%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 19.0%
• Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 18.2%
• Wilyer Abreu (Red Sox): 17.5%
• Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers): 17.4%
• Pete Alonso (Orioles): 16.8%
• Fernando Tatis (Padres): 16.7%
• Bryce Harper (Phillies): 16.3%
• Willson Contreras (Red Sox): 16.2%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.2% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.7%) and Junior Caminero (19.0%).

Kyle Tucker and Wilyer Abreu are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Monday's home run picks [8/10/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

J.T. Realmuto (Phillies) to hit a home run

• Probability: 11.4%
• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.3%
• Pitching matchup: Hunter Dobbins
• More game projections: Phillies vs. Cardinals prediction (7:45 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Philadelphia slugger J.T. Realmuto rates as a value play at +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 2.3% edge.

With Hunter Dobbins on the mound for the Cardinals, the data supports Realmuto as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 10, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's J.T. Realmuto who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.3% edge at +1000 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Monday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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