MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Josh Naylor [8/1/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for August 1, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Jim Jarvis, Josh Naylor and Payton Tolle.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Tigers vs. Athletics and Nationals vs. Braves, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Saturday, 8/1
Sourced from 60+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 1, ranked by probability.
Jim Jarvis to get a hit (-175)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 66.6%
- Game: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Atlanta's Jim Jarvis to get a hit. A probability of 66.6% gives this play an edge of 2.9% at -175 odds.
Josh Naylor to get a hit (-175)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 66.2%
- Game: Twins vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)
Josh Naylor’s to get a hit prop shows a 66.2% probability and an 2.6% edge at -175 odds, according to our model.
Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts (-156)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 65.7%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 65.7% probability and a 4.8% edge at -156.
Parker Messick under 5.5 strikeouts (-165)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 65.7%
- Game: D-Backs vs. Guardians (7:15PM ET)
Our model finds value on Parker Messick under 5.5 strikeouts, with a 65.7% probability and an edge of 3.4% at -165 odds.
Mike Yastrzemski to get a hit (-165)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 65.0%
- Game: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Mike Yastrzemski to get a hit for Atlanta, showing an edge of 2.7% at -165 odds.
Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts (-132)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 62.9%
- Game: Tigers vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)
Framber Valdez’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 6.0% at -132 odds, supported by a 62.9% probability according to our model.
Michael Harris II over 1.5 bases (-111)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 61.5%
- Game: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Michael Harris II over 1.5 bases for Atlanta, with a 61.5% probability and a 8.9% edge at -111 odds.
Rob Refsnyder to get a hit (-110)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 61.5%
- Game: Twins vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Rob Refsnyder to get a hit, supported by a 61.5% probability at -110 odds and an edge of 9.1%.
Colt Emerson to get a hit (-115)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 61.4%
- Game: Twins vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)
A 7.9% edge on the to get a hit line makes Colt Emerson a value play in Twins vs. Mariners, supported by a 61.4% probability at -115 odds.
Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts (-124)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 61.0%
- Game: Phillies vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)
Simulations show value on Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts here, with a 61.0% probability and 5.7% edge at -124 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Saturday, August 1, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:28AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals vs. Braves | Jim Jarvis to get a hit | -175 @ FanDuel | 2.9% | 66.6% |
| Twins vs. Mariners | Josh Naylor to get a hit | -175 @ FanDuel | 2.6% | 66.2% |
| Red Sox vs. Dodgers | Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts | -156 @ FanDuel | 3.4% | 65.7% |
| D-Backs vs. Guardians | Parker Messick under 5.5 strikeouts | -165 @ DraftKings | 3.4% | 65.7% |
| Nationals vs. Braves | Mike Yastrzemski to get a hit | -165 @ FanDuel | 2.7% | 65.0% |
| Tigers vs. Athletics | Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts | -132 @ FanDuel | 6.0% | 62.9% |
| Nationals vs. Braves | Michael Harris II over 1.5 bases | -111 @ DraftKings | 8.9% | 61.5% |
| Twins vs. Mariners | Rob Refsnyder to get a hit | -110 @ FanDuel | 9.1% | 61.5% |
| Twins vs. Mariners | Colt Emerson to get a hit | -115 @ FanDuel | 7.9% | 61.4% |
| Phillies vs. Orioles | Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts | -124 @ DraftKings | 5.7% | 61.0% |
Maximize your winning Potential with Dimers Pro's MLB prop picks
Ready to see how Dimers Pro can supercharge your MLB prop picks? Check out this explainer video to discover how you can enhance your betting success and gain a competitive edge.
Conclusion
For August 1, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Jim Jarvis, Josh Naylor and Payton Tolle. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
