San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/22/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United predictions for MLS Saturday.

San Jose Earthquakes-Minnesota United Predictions and Game Preview.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United MLS prediction for Saturday, August 22, 2026.

San Jose will take on Minnesota in MLS action at PayPal Park on Saturday, beginning at 10:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects San Jose as the most likely winner in this San Jose vs. Minnesota prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between San Jose and Minnesota, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 46.0% chance of San Jose winning, a 30.7% chance for Minnesota, and a 23.4% chance of a draw.

 

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +200, San Jose +125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: San Jose @ +125 via ESPN BET

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is San Jose to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United: Correct score predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

  • San Jose 1-1 Minnesota (10.6% probability)
  • San Jose 2-1 Minnesota (9.2%)
  • San Jose 1-0 Minnesota (7.6%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between San Jose and Minnesota in MLS at PayPal Park is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, San Jose has a 46.0% win probability on Saturday, Minnesota has a 30.7% win probability, and there is a 23.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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