Cardinals vs. 49ers prediction favors San Francisco to win in NFL Week 3 [2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 76.1% win probability for the 49ers at Levi's Stadium.

The Arizona Cardinals take on the San Francisco 49ers in NFL action.
Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL prediction for Sunday, September 27, 2026.

The San Francisco 49ers will square off with the Arizona Cardinals in NFL Week 3 action at Levi's Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the 49ers as the most likely winner in this Cardinals vs. 49ers prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Cardinals vs. Niners prediction and odds

Since our Cardinals-49ers predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Cardinals and 49ers, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the 49ers a 76.1% chance of beating the Cardinals in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the 49ers winning 27-19.

Key factors favoring the 49ers:

  • San Francisco 49ers Offensive Efficiency
  • San Francisco 49ers Power Rankings
  • San Francisco 49ers QB Change / Form

According to our model, the 49ers (-7.5) have a 53.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 54.2% chance of staying under.

The main contributing factors to the under being more likely are:

  • Arizona Cardinals Form
  • Weather / Conditions
 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 3 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Cardinals +7.5 (-104) / 49ers -7.5 (+100)
  • Moneyline: Cardinals +335, 49ers -335
  • Total: Over/Under 48.5 (+100/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: 49ers -7.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Cardinals @ +335 via BetRivers
  • Total: Under 48.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is 49ers -7.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Cardinals vs. 49ers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Cardinals vs. 49ers?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 3, Christian McCaffrey is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Cardinals vs. 49ers.

Our projections give McCaffrey a 61.3% chance of scoring a TD at Levi's Stadium, while the running back is a 16.2% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Arizona Cardinals

  • Jeremiyah Love (RB): 39.5% probability
  • Trey McBride (TE): 34.8%
  • Tyler Allgeier (RB): 28.4%
  • Michael Wilson (WR): 26.5%
  • Marvin Harrison (WR): 19.4%

San Francisco 49ers

  • Christian McCaffrey (RB): 61.3% prob.
  • Mike Evans (WR): 37.4%
  • George Kittle (TE): 34.4%
  • Deebo Samuel (WR): 30.7%
  • Brock Purdy (QB): 22.4%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Arizona Cardinals

  • Jeremiyah Love (RB): 9.6% prob.
  • Trey McBride (TE): 8.2%
  • Tyler Allgeier (RB): 6.4%
  • Michael Wilson (WR): 5.9%
  • Marvin Harrison (WR): 4.1%

San Francisco 49ers

  • Christian McCaffrey (RB): 16.2% prob.
  • Mike Evans (WR): 8.0%
  • George Kittle (TE): 7.2%
  • Deebo Samuel (WR): 6.3%
  • Brock Purdy (QB): 4.3%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cardinals and 49ers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 3 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cardinals' Jacoby Brissett is projected for 231 passing yards. The 49ers' Brock Purdy is expected to throw for 240 yards.

Cardinals rushing

  • Jeremiyah Love: 45 yds
  • Tyler Allgeier: 36 yds
  • Jacoby Brissett: 12 yds

49ers rushing

  • Christian McCaffrey: 63 yds
  • Kaelon Black: 33 yds
  • Brock Purdy: 20 yds

Cardinals receiving

  • Trey McBride: 68 yds
  • Michael Wilson: 50 yds
  • Marvin Harrison: 38 yds
  • Kendrick Bourne: 30 yds
  • Jeremiyah Love: 19 yds

49ers receiving

  • Mike Evans: 59 yds
  • George Kittle: 49 yds
  • Deebo Samuel: 46 yds
  • Christian McCaffrey: 40 yds
  • Jacob Cowing: 13 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 3 game between the 49ers and Cardinals at Levi's Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:05 PM ET.

NFL Week 3 promo

Using our full NFL Week 3 promo code guide, you can make the most of Dimers' Cardinals vs. 49ers predictions with the offer below — Polymarket code "DIMERS" securing a $50 bonus on a $10 first deposit:


Conclusion

We predict the 49ers, with a 76.1% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Week 3 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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