Rams vs. Broncos prediction favors Rams to win ‘SNF’ Week 3 [2026]

Since our Rams-Broncos predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Rams and Broncos, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Rams a 59.9% chance of beating the Broncos in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Rams winning 23-20.

Key factors favoring the Rams:

• Los Angeles Rams Offensive Efficiency
• Denver Broncos QB Change / Form
• Los Angeles Rams QB Match-up Differential

According to our model, the Rams (-2.5) have a 54.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 53.5% chance of staying under.

The main contributing factors to the under being more likely are:

• Weather / Conditions
• Denver Broncos Form

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 3 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Rams -2.5 (-103) / Broncos +2.5 (-116)
• Moneyline: Rams -120, Broncos +117
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (+104/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Rams -2.5 @ 51¢ via Kalshi
• Moneyline: Rams @ 55¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 44.5 @ 52¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rams to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Rams vs. Broncos TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Rams vs. Broncos?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 3, Kyren Williams is most likely to score an anytime TD in Rams vs. Broncos.

Our projections give Williams a 46.8% chance of getting in for six at Empower Field at Mile High, while the running back is an 11.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Los Angeles Rams

• Kyren Williams (RB): 46.8% probability
• Davante Adams (WR): 39.3%
• Terrance Ferguson (TE): 27.6%
• Blake Corum (RB): 27.0%
• Colby Parkinson (TE): 21.0%

Denver Broncos

• J.K. Dobbins (RB): 34.4% prob.
• Jaylen Waddle (WR): 29.2%
• RJ Harvey (RB): 27.1%
• Courtland Sutton (WR): 25.2%
• Pat Bryant (WR): 17.7%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Los Angeles Rams

• Kyren Williams (RB): 11.5% prob.
• Davante Adams (WR): 9.1%
• Terrance Ferguson (TE): 5.9%
• Blake Corum (RB): 5.8%
• Colby Parkinson (TE): 4.3%

Denver Broncos

• J.K. Dobbins (RB): 7.6% prob.
• Jaylen Waddle (WR): 6.2%
• RJ Harvey (RB): 5.7%
• Courtland Sutton (WR): 5.3%
• Pat Bryant (WR): 3.5%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Rams and Broncos. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 3 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Rams' Matthew Stafford is projected for 250 passing yards, while the Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 222 yards.

Rams rushing

• Kyren Williams: 60 yds
• Blake Corum: 53 yds
• Matthew Stafford: 3 yds

Broncos rushing

• J.K. Dobbins: 55 yds
• RJ Harvey: 23 yds
• Bo Nix: 20 yds

Rams receiving

• Davante Adams: 76 yds
• Terrance Ferguson: 51 yds
• Colby Parkinson: 23 yds
• Jordan Whittington: 19 yds
• Kyren Williams: 17 yds

Broncos receiving

• Jaylen Waddle: 64 yds
• Courtland Sutton: 42 yds
• Pat Bryant: 32 yds
• Evan Engram: 25 yds
• RJ Harvey: 21 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 3 action between the Broncos and Rams at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to start at 8:20 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Rams vs. Denver Broncos
• Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
• Time: 8:20 PM ET/5:20PM PT
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High

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Conclusion

We predict the Rams, with a 59.9% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Week 3 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.