Ravens vs. Cowboys prediction favors Baltimore to win in NFL Week 3 [2026]

Since our Ravens-Cowboys predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Ravens and Cowboys, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Ravens a 62.4% chance of defeating the Cowboys in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 27-24.

Key factors favoring the Ravens:

• Baltimore Ravens Offensive Efficiency
• Baltimore Ravens Power Rankings
• Dallas Cowboys Defensive Efficiency

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Ravens and Cowboys each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 53.5 points has a 52.5% chance of staying under.

The main contributing factors to the under being more likely are:

• Weather / Conditions
• Baltimore Ravens Pace

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 3 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Ravens -3.5 (+108) / Cowboys +3.5 (-111)
• Moneyline: Ravens -167, Cowboys +163
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (+106/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Ravens -3.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Ravens @ 63¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 53.5 @ 52¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Ravens -3.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Ravens vs. Cowboys TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Ravens vs. Cowboys?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 3, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Ravens vs. Cowboys.

Our projections give Henry a 63.6% chance of scoring a TD at Maracanã Stadium, while the running back is a 13.6% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Baltimore Ravens

• Derrick Henry (RB): 63.6% probability
• Zay Flowers (WR): 40.1%
• Mark Andrews (TE): 35.8%
• Rashod Bateman (WR): 32.2%
• Lamar Jackson (QB): 28.9%

Dallas Cowboys

• Javonte Williams (RB): 56.8% prob.
• CeeDee Lamb (WR): 38.9%
• George Pickens (WR): 32.2%
• Jake Ferguson (TE): 24.7%
• Ryan Flournoy (WR): 18.1%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Baltimore Ravens

• Derrick Henry (RB): 13.6% prob.
• Zay Flowers (WR): 6.9%
• Mark Andrews (TE): 6.0%
• Rashod Bateman (WR): 5.2%
• Lamar Jackson (QB): 4.6%

Dallas Cowboys

• Javonte Williams (RB): 13.6% prob.
• CeeDee Lamb (WR): 8.0%
• George Pickens (WR): 6.3%
• Jake Ferguson (TE): 4.6%
• Ryan Flournoy (WR): 3.2%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Ravens and Cowboys. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 3 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected for 245 passing yards, while the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for a whopping 279 yards.

Ravens rushing

• Derrick Henry: 93 yds
• Lamar Jackson: 46 yds
• Justice Hill: 16 yds

Cowboys rushing

• Javonte Williams: 62 yds
• Dak Prescott: 15 yds
• Emari Demercado: 13 yds

Ravens receiving

• Zay Flowers: 64 yds
• Rashod Bateman: 51 yds
• Mark Andrews: 45 yds
• Chris Moore: 20 yds
• LaJohntay Wester: 20 yds

Cowboys receiving

• CeeDee Lamb: 86 yds
• George Pickens: 69 yds
• Ryan Flournoy: 36 yds
• Jake Ferguson: 34 yds
• Javonte Williams: 19 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Cowboys and Ravens at Maracanã Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:25 PM ET.

• Who: Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys
• Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
• Time: 4:25 PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Maracanã Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with a 62.4% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Week 3 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.