Falcons vs. Buccaneers prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win in NFL Week 8 [2026]

Since our Falcons-Buccaneers predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Falcons and Buccaneers, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Buccaneers a 56.1% chance of beating the Falcons in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Buccaneers winning 22-20.

Key factors favoring the Buccaneers:

• Buccaneers team rating
• Buccaneers home-field advantage
• Buccaneers recent performance

According to our model, the Falcons (+2.5) have a 53.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Falcons +2.5 (-108) / Buccaneers -2.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Falcons +122, Buccaneers -122
• Total: Over/Under 43.5 (+106/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Falcons +2.5 @ 52¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Buccaneers @ 55¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 43.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 43.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Falcons vs. Buccaneers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Falcons vs. Buccaneers?

According to our model, Bijan Robinson is most likely to score an anytime TD in Falcons vs. Buccaneers.

Our projections give Robinson a 58.4% chance of getting in for six at Raymond James Stadium, while the running back is a 17.1% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson (RB): 58.4% probability
• Drake London (WR): 33.0%
• Kyle Pitts (TE): 25.0%
• Jahan Dotson (WR): 18.3%
• Khalil Herbert (RB): 11.1%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Bucky Irving (RB): 46.5% prob.
• Chris Godwin (WR): 27.7%
• Ted Hurst (WR): 23.7%
• Kenny Gainwell (RB): 22.7%
• Cade Otton (TE): 20.8%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson (RB): 17.1% prob.
• Drake London (WR): 7.8%
• Kyle Pitts (TE): 5.6%
• Jahan Dotson (WR): 3.9%
• Khalil Herbert (RB): 2.3%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Bucky Irving (RB): 11.8% prob.
• Chris Godwin (WR): 6.1%
• Ted Hurst (WR): 5.1%
• Kenny Gainwell (RB): 4.8%
• Cade Otton (TE): 4.4%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Falcons and Buccaneers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Michael Penix is projected for 227 passing yards. The Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is expected to throw for 213 yards.

Falcons rushing

• Bijan Robinson: 88 yds
• Khalil Herbert: 15 yds
• Michael Penix: 8 yds

Buccaneers rushing

• Bucky Irving: 71 yds
• Baker Mayfield: 22 yds
• Kenny Gainwell: 20 yds

Falcons receiving

• Drake London: 82 yds
• Kyle Pitts: 37 yds
• Bijan Robinson: 32 yds
• Jahan Dotson: 31 yds
• Zachariah Branch: 15 yds

Buccaneers receiving

• Chris Godwin: 46 yds
• Ted Hurst: 37 yds
• Tez Johnson: 36 yds
• Cade Otton: 36 yds
• Bucky Irving: 20 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 8 matchup between the Buccaneers and Falcons at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Buccaneers, with a 56.1% win probability, will likely beat the Falcons in Week 8 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.