Vikings vs. Lions prediction favors Detroit to win in NFL Week 8 [2026]

Since our Vikings-Lions predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Vikings and Lions, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lions a 61.9% chance of beating the Vikings in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 25-22.

Key factors favoring the Lions:

• Vikings offense
• Lions offense
• Lions home-field advantage

According to our model, the oddsmakers have got it right, and the Vikings and Lions each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 53.6% chance of going over.

Here's what's driving the over's higher probability::

• Playing conditions
• Vikings recent performance

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Vikings +3.5 (-111) / Lions -3.5 (+108)
• Moneyline: Vikings +163, Lions -170
• Total: Over/Under 46.5 (+113/-117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Lions -3.5 @ 48¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Vikings @ 38¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 46.5 @ 47¢ via Polymarket

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 46.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Vikings vs. Lions TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Vikings vs. Lions?

According to our model, Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score an anytime TD in Vikings vs. Lions.

Our projections give Gibbs a 67.2% chance of scoring a TD at Ford Field, while the running back is a 20.9% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

• Jordan Mason (RB): 37.6% probability
• Justin Jefferson (WR): 35.1%
• Aaron Jones (RB): 27.1%
• T.J. Hockenson (TE): 24.6%
• Jordan Addison (WR): 23.4%

Detroit Lions

• Jahmyr Gibbs (RB): 67.2% prob.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR): 41.8%
• Sam LaPorta (TE): 26.0%
• Jameson Williams (WR): 24.7%
• Isaac TeSlaa (WR): 11.9%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

• Jordan Mason (RB): 8.7% prob.
• Justin Jefferson (WR): 8.0%
• Aaron Jones (RB): 5.8%
• T.J. Hockenson (TE): 5.2%
• Jordan Addison (WR): 4.9%

Detroit Lions

• Jahmyr Gibbs (RB): 20.9% prob.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR): 10.1%
• Sam LaPorta (TE): 5.6%
• Jameson Williams (WR): 5.3%
• Isaac TeSlaa (WR): 2.4%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Lions. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Kyler Murray is projected for 221 passing yards. The Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 257 yards.

Vikings rushing

• Jordan Mason: 53 yds
• Aaron Jones: 34 yds
• Kyler Murray: 29 yds

Lions rushing

• Jahmyr Gibbs: 93 yds
• Sione Vaki: 12 yds
• Jared Goff: 4 yds

Vikings receiving

• Justin Jefferson: 80 yds
• T.J. Hockenson: 45 yds
• Jordan Addison: 44 yds
• Jauan Jennings: 20 yds
• Aaron Jones: 13 yds

Lions receiving

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 83 yds
• Jameson Williams: 55 yds
• Sam LaPorta: 47 yds
• Jahmyr Gibbs: 32 yds
• Isaac TeSlaa: 24 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 8 action between the Lions and Vikings at Ford Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Ford Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with a 61.9% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 8 of the NFL season.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.