NFL player props today: Week 8 best props include Puka Nacua [11/1/2026]

Puka Nacua under 9.5 rushing yards (76¢)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 85.1%
• Projection: 3.6
• Game: Chargers vs. Rams (4:05PM ET)

Our model has found value on Rams' Puka Nacua under 9.5 rushing yards. A probability of 85.1% gives this play an edge of 8.8% at 76¢ odds.

Nate Boerkircher over 0.5 receptions (-235)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 73.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Colts vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET)

Nate Boerkircher’s receptions prop shows a 3.4% edge at -235 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 receptions on the over 0.5 line.

Parker Washington under 5.5 receptions (-190)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 69.9%
• Projection: 4.5
• Game: Colts vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Parker Washington under 5.5 receptions, with simulations showing a 69.9% probability and a 4.4% edge at -190.

Austin Hooper over 0.5 receptions (65¢)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 69.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Falcons vs. Buccaneers (1:00PM ET)

Our model projects Austin Hooper to record 1.2 receptions today, creating an edge of 5.0% on the over 0.5 line at 65¢ odds.

Ja'Marr Chase under 7.5 receptions (-160)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 69.4%
• Projection: 6.4
• Game: Titans vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Ja'Marr Chase under 7.5 receptions for Bengals, showing an edge of 7.9% at -160 odds.

Jahan Dotson under 2.5 receptions (-180)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 67.7%
• Projection: 2.0
• Game: Falcons vs. Buccaneers (1:00PM ET)

Jahan Dotson’s receptions prop shows an edge of 3.4% at -180 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.0 today.

Bijan Robinson under 4.5 receptions (-163)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 67.6%
• Projection: 3.8
• Game: Falcons vs. Buccaneers (1:00PM ET)

Our model projects Bijan Robinson for 3.8 receptions for Falcons, creating an edge of 5.6% on under 4.5 at -163 odds.

Deshaun Watson under 5.5 rushing attempts (-112)

• Edge: 14.5%
• Probability: 67.3%
• Game: Browns vs. Steelers (1:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Deshaun Watson under 5.5 rushing attempts, supported by a 67.3% probability at -112 odds and an edge of 14.5%.

Jeremy McNichols under 20.5 rushing yards (-115)

• Edge: 13.7%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Projection: 17.7
• Game: Eagles vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET)

A 13.7% edge on the under 5.5 rushing yards line makes Jeremy McNichols a value play in Eagles vs. Commanders, with our model projecting him for 17.7 rushing yards at -115 odds.

Elijah Higgins over 1.5 receptions (64¢)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 67.0%
• Projection: 2.3
• Game: Cardinals vs. Cowboys (1:00PM ET)

Simulations project Elijah Higgins for 2.3 receptions here, creating a 3.3% edge on the over 1.5 line at 64¢ odds.

NFL player prop summary: Week 8, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:51AM ET:

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Today's player props include Puka Nacua under 9.5 rushing yards. Make the most of them with this Polymarket offer:

Conclusion

For November 1, 2026, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Puka Nacua, Nate Boerkircher and Parker Washington. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.