Raiders vs. Jets prediction favors Jets to win in NFL Week 8 [2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Dimers' simulation model projects a 58.6% win probability for the Jets at MetLife Stadium.

The Las Vegas Raiders take on the New York Jets in NFL action.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New York Jets NFL prediction for Sunday, November 1, 2026.

The New York Jets will face the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 8 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Jets as the most likely winner in this Raiders vs. Jets prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Raiders vs. Jets prediction and odds

Since our Raiders-Jets predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Raiders and Jets, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Jets a 58.6% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jets winning 24-21.

Key factors favoring the Jets:

  • Raiders offense
  • Jets QB situation
  • Jets team rating

According to our model, the Jets (-1.5) have a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 51.2% chance of staying under.

Here's what's driving the under's higher probability::

  • Raiders recent performance
  • Jets recent performance
 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Raiders +1.5 (+100) / Jets -1.5 (+100)
  • Moneyline: Raiders +115, Jets -117
  • Total: Over/Under 46.5 (+108/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Jets -1.5 @ 50¢ via Polymarket
  • Moneyline: Jets @ 54¢ via Novig
  • Total: Over 46.5 @ 48¢ via Polymarket

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Jets to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Raiders vs. Jets TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Raiders vs. Jets?

According to our model, Ashton Jeanty is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Raiders vs. Jets.

Our projections give Jeanty a 46.0% chance of scoring a TD at MetLife Stadium, while the running back is an 11.0% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Ashton Jeanty (RB): 46.0% probability
  • Brock Bowers (TE): 44.1%
  • Tre Tucker (WR): 26.4%
  • Mike Washington (RB): 20.5%
  • Michael Mayer (TE): 18.2%

New York Jets

  • Breece Hall (RB): 45.4% prob.
  • Braelon Allen (RB): 44.1%
  • Garrett Wilson (WR): 36.4%
  • Omar Cooper (WR): 23.4%
  • Mason Taylor (TE): 19.1%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Ashton Jeanty (RB): 11.0% prob.
  • Brock Bowers (TE): 10.4%
  • Tre Tucker (WR): 5.5%
  • Mike Washington (RB): 4.1%
  • Michael Mayer (TE): 3.6%

New York Jets

  • Breece Hall (RB): 10.4% prob.
  • Braelon Allen (RB): 10.0%
  • Garrett Wilson (WR): 7.8%
  • Omar Cooper (WR): 4.6%
  • Mason Taylor (TE): 3.7%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Jets. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Kirk Cousins is projected for 237 passing yards, while the Jets' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 226 yards.

Raiders rushing

  • Ashton Jeanty: 53 yds
  • Mike Washington: 32 yds
  • Kirk Cousins: 4 yds

Jets rushing

  • Breece Hall: 50 yds
  • Braelon Allen: 48 yds
  • Geno Smith: 10 yds

Raiders receiving

  • Brock Bowers: 69 yds
  • Tre Tucker: 52 yds
  • Michael Mayer: 30 yds
  • Ashton Jeanty: 30 yds
  • Jalen Nailor: 24 yds

Jets receiving

  • Garrett Wilson: 68 yds
  • Omar Cooper: 47 yds
  • Adonai Mitchell: 30 yds
  • Mason Taylor: 28 yds
  • Kenyon Sadiq: 21 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 8 matchup between the Jets and Raiders at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

NFL Week 8 promo

Make the most of Dimers' Raiders vs. Jets predictions by exploring the code "DIMERS" with Polymarket:


Conclusion

We predict the Jets, with a 58.6% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 8 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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