Browns vs. Saints prediction favors New Orleans to win in NFL Week 9 [2026]

Since our Browns-Saints predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Browns and Saints, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Saints a 63.7% chance of beating the Browns in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Saints winning 23-19.

Key factors favoring the Saints:

• Browns offense
• Saints team rating
• Saints QB situation

According to our model, the Saints (-3.5) have a 51.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has a 53.9% chance of going over.

The key factors that make the over more likely are:

• Playing conditions
• Saints pace

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Browns +3.5 (-108) / Saints -3.5 (+106)
• Moneyline: Browns +160, Saints -163
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (+102/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Saints -3.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Saints @ 62¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 42.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 42.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Browns vs. Saints TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Browns vs. Saints?

According to our model, Quinshon Judkins is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Browns vs. Saints.

Our projections give Judkins a 41.6% chance of scoring a TD at Caesars Superdome, while the running back is a 10.4% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Cleveland Browns

• Quinshon Judkins (RB): 41.6% probability
• Harold Fannin (TE): 29.5%
• Denzel Boston (WR): 28.1%
• KC Concepcion (WR): 21.7%
• Dylan Sampson (RB): 18.8%

New Orleans Saints

• Alvin Kamara (RB): 39.4% prob.
• Chris Olave (WR): 31.8%
• Audric Estime (RB): 27.8%
• Juwan Johnson (TE): 27.1%
• Devaughn Vele (WR): 22.3%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Cleveland Browns

• Quinshon Judkins (RB): 10.4% prob.
• Harold Fannin (TE): 6.8%
• Denzel Boston (WR): 6.4%
• KC Concepcion (WR): 4.7%
• Dylan Sampson (RB): 4.0%

New Orleans Saints

• Alvin Kamara (RB): 10.3% prob.
• Chris Olave (WR): 7.9%
• Audric Estime (RB): 6.7%
• Juwan Johnson (TE): 6.5%
• Devaughn Vele (WR): 5.2%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Browns and Saints. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Shedeur Sanders is projected for 190 passing yards. The Saints' Tyler Shough is expected to throw for 236 yards.

Browns rushing

• Quinshon Judkins: 63 yds
• Dylan Sampson: 21 yds
• Shedeur Sanders: 20 yds

Saints rushing

• Alvin Kamara: 42 yds
• Audric Estime: 35 yds
• Tyler Shough: 16 yds

Browns receiving

• KC Concepcion: 51 yds
• Denzel Boston: 47 yds
• Harold Fannin: 45 yds
• Dylan Sampson: 22 yds
• Jerry Jeudy: 20 yds

Saints receiving

• Chris Olave: 76 yds
• Devaughn Vele: 42 yds
• Jordyn Tyson: 31 yds
• Juwan Johnson: 31 yds
• Alvin Kamara: 23 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 9 matchup between the Saints and Browns at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Caesars Superdome

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Conclusion

We predict the Saints, with a 63.7% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 9 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.