Chargers vs. Rams prediction favors Los Angeles to win in NFL Week 8 [2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 74.4% win probability for the Rams at SoFi Stadium.

The Los Angeles Chargers take on the Los Angeles Rams in NFL action.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL prediction for Sunday, November 1, 2026.

NFL Week 8 action continues on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET as the Los Angeles Chargers face off with the favored Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium.

Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Rams as the most likely winner in this Chargers vs. Rams prediction.

This article offers a closer look at this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Chargers vs. Rams prediction and odds

Since our Chargers-Rams predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Chargers and Rams, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Rams a 74.4% chance of defeating the Chargers in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Rams winning 26-18.

Key factors favoring the Rams:

  • Rams offense
  • Chargers QB situation
  • Rams team rating

According to our model, the Rams (-6.5) have a 56.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 45.5-point over/under has a 51.2% chance of staying under.

Here's what's driving the under's higher probability::

  • QB ratings
  • Chargers recent performance
 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Chargers +6.5 (+100) / Rams -6.5 (-102)
  • Moneyline: Chargers +270, Rams -264
  • Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-106/+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Rams -6.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Rams @ 73¢ via Novig
  • Total: Under 45.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rams -6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Chargers vs. Rams TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Chargers vs. Rams?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 8, Kyren Williams is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Chargers vs. Rams.

Our projections give Williams a 58.1% chance of scoring a TD at SoFi Stadium, while the running back is a 15.0% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Omarion Hampton (RB): 33.6% probability
  • Ladd McConkey (WR): 27.0%
  • Kimani Vidal (RB): 20.6%
  • Quentin Johnston (WR): 20.1%
  • Keaton Mitchell (RB): 16.5%

Los Angeles Rams

  • Kyren Williams (RB): 58.1% prob.
  • Puka Nacua (WR): 46.0%
  • Blake Corum (RB): 30.3%
  • Tyler Higbee (TE): 26.2%
  • Colby Parkinson (TE): 21.9%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Omarion Hampton (RB): 7.6% prob.
  • Ladd McConkey (WR): 5.8%
  • Kimani Vidal (RB): 4.3%
  • Quentin Johnston (WR): 4.2%
  • Keaton Mitchell (RB): 3.3%

Los Angeles Rams

  • Kyren Williams (RB): 15.0% prob.
  • Puka Nacua (WR): 10.6%
  • Blake Corum (RB): 6.2%
  • Tyler Higbee (TE): 5.2%
  • Colby Parkinson (TE): 4.3%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chargers and Rams. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected for 210 passing yards, while the Rams' Matthew Stafford is expected to throw for 259 yards.

Chargers rushing

  • Omarion Hampton: 39 yds
  • Justin Herbert: 27 yds
  • Kimani Vidal: 25 yds

Rams rushing

  • Kyren Williams: 69 yds
  • Blake Corum: 51 yds
  • Puka Nacua: 4 yds

Chargers receiving

  • Ladd McConkey: 52 yds
  • Tre' Harris: 39 yds
  • Quentin Johnston: 38 yds
  • Charlie Kolar: 23 yds
  • Oronde Gadsden: 21 yds

Rams receiving

  • Puka Nacua: 97 yds
  • Tyler Higbee: 40 yds
  • Kyren Williams: 27 yds
  • Colby Parkinson: 24 yds
  • Konata Mumpfield: 24 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 8 action between the Rams and Chargers at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05 PM ET.

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Make the most of Dimers' Chargers vs. Rams predictions by exploring the below DraftKings Predicts offer:


Conclusion

We predict the Rams, with a 74.4% win probability, will likely beat the Chargers in Week 8 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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