Giants vs. Texans prediction favors Houston to win in NFL Week 7 [2026]

Since our Giants-Texans predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Giants and Texans, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Texans a 79.3% chance of defeating the Giants in Week 7 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 27-17.

Key factors favoring the Texans:

• Texans team rating
• Texans QB situation
• Giants offense

According to our model, the Giants (+10.5) have a 52.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has a 57.3% chance of going over.

The key factors that make the over more likely are:

• Playing conditions
• Texans recent performance

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 7 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Giants +10.5 (-104) / Texans -10.5 (+102)
• Moneyline: Giants +400, Texans -400
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-104/+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Giants +10.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Giants @ 20¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Over 42.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 42.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Giants vs. Texans TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Giants vs. Texans?

According to our model, Woody Marks is most likely to score an anytime TD in Giants vs. Texans.

Our projections give Marks a 51.3% chance of scoring a TD at Reliant Stadium, while the running back is a 13.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New York Giants

• Isaiah Likely (TE): 27.5% probability
• Malik Nabers (WR): 24.0%
• Tyrone Tracy (RB): 20.9%
• Cam Skattebo (RB): 17.8%
• J.J. McCarthy (QB): 16.8%

Houston Texans

• Woody Marks (RB): 51.3% prob.
• Nico Collins (WR): 43.2%
• Dalton Schultz (TE): 24.1%
• Jaylin Noel (WR): 21.3%
• Dare Ogunbowale (RB): 19.7%

First touchdown scorer predictions

New York Giants

• Isaiah Likely (TE): 6.5% prob.
• Malik Nabers (WR): 5.5%
• Tyrone Tracy (RB): 4.7%
• Cam Skattebo (RB): 3.9%
• J.J. McCarthy (QB): 3.7%

Houston Texans

• Woody Marks (RB): 13.5% prob.
• Nico Collins (WR): 10.6%
• Dalton Schultz (TE): 5.2%
• Jaylin Noel (WR): 4.5%
• Dare Ogunbowale (RB): 4.1%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Giants and Texans. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 7 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Giants' J.J. McCarthy is projected for 213 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 255 yards.

Giants rushing

• Tyrone Tracy: 29 yds
• Cam Skattebo: 29 yds
• J.J. McCarthy: 26 yds

Texans rushing

• Woody Marks: 68 yds
• Dare Ogunbowale: 34 yds
• C.J. Stroud: 12 yds

Giants receiving

• Malik Nabers: 72 yds
• Isaiah Likely: 53 yds
• Malachi Fields: 25 yds
• Darnell Mooney: 23 yds
• Tyrone Tracy: 12 yds

Texans receiving

• Nico Collins: 72 yds
• Marvin Harrison: 35 yds
• Jaylin Noel: 34 yds
• Dalton Schultz: 33 yds
• Xavier Hutchinson: 20 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 7 matchup between the Texans and Giants at Reliant Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: New York Giants vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Reliant Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 79.3% win probability, will likely beat the Giants in Week 7 of the NFL season.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.